Mini Case Study #21

The Diet Coke Paradox

2 min read Food & Everyday Prices

Mini Case Study 21 poster: The Diet Coke Paradox

The Diet Coke Paradox 🥤

India has enough aluminium to last 350 years. Yet we import aluminium cans from Sri Lanka.

Let that sink in for a second.
-> A few weeks back, Diet Coke quietly disappeared from Indian shelves.
-> Gen Z started panicking. Memes happened. Parties happened.
-> The reason given? "Aluminium shortage."

Wait. WHAT?

India is the world's 2nd largest aluminium producer.
We have bauxite reserves for the next 350 years.
We have cheap labour.

On paper, we should be making cans for the whole world. Instead, we're importing them from Sri Lanka. 😐

And here's the scary part - this isn't just a Diet Coke problem.

-> We're called the "pharmacy of the world" - yet 70% of our medicine ingredients come from China.
-> We produce massive iron ore - yet we import special steel for our own bullet trains.
-> We have rare earth minerals - yet not a single rare earth magnet factory exists here.

Same story. Different industry. Every single time.

So what's actually going wrong?

1. We dig. We don't build. Raw material निकालते हैं। Factory नहीं लगाते। We export ore. We import the finished product. And we pay more for it.
2. Indian aluminium is priced like it's for export. So local can-makers find it cheaper to just import cans from outside. Yes. Importing is cheaper than buying from our own country. Wild, right?
3. Small manufacturers are stuck. They can't afford expensive raw material. They can't compete with cheap Chinese finished goods. They're just... squeezed.

-> Look at UAE.

Zero aluminium resources. ZERO.

Yet they import raw aluminium, process it, and export finished products worldwide. They climbed the value chain.
We didn't.

It's like growing wheat your whole life and buying bread from the neighbour.

The fix isn't complicated. It's just hard.
- Make raw material affordable for local factories
- Reduce taxes on manufacturing machines
- Stop stopping at "assembling" - actually manufacture

Diet Coke will come back to shelves. But this problem?
It'll stay - until we stop selling raw and start building finished.

✍🏻 Mantra Joshi

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